Forget the nonsense that says playing Counter-strike causes shooting rampages or firing up Bully leads to dishing out swirlies. When it comes to pop culture, iPods may be the real cause of crime.
At least, that's the conclusion of the Urban Institute, a Washington, D.C.-based think tank. As reported by the Associated Press:
They argue that the tantalizing gadgets are perhaps the main reason U.S. violent crime rose in 2005 and 2006 after declining every year since 1991—although a close look at the findings suggests the hypothesis has holes.
The AP notes that robberies - the taking of something by force - which had been in a longterm decline, surged in 2005 and 2006. During that same time period, the iPod went mainstream. Annual sales jumped from 5 million in 2004 to 90 million by 2006:
One widely accepted theory holds that crime happens when three things come together: A motivated offender encounters a suitable victim and perceives a high chance of getting away with it. And the Urban Institute researchers believe the sudden prevalence of iPods increased all three factors...
Anecdotal evidence bears out a lot of this. Subway officials in New York, San Francisco and Washington, D.C., reported big increases in iPods being stolen from passengers. News reports cast the iPod as the latest must-steal item for some thugs, following in the footsteps of things like Air Jordan sneakers.
Jack McDevitt of Northeastern University's College of Criminal Justice, however, was skeptical:
There has been a lot of anecdotal evidence of cell phones, iPods, GPS systems that have been targets for theft... I could sort of understand and buy that in... a short spike for a few months. But to suggest that that's driving the crime numbers in any major way, I don't think so.
Via: Engadget
Comments
But that's part of the problem. Say you steal my cell phone, what do you get? You can't use the SIM card because that would lead the authorities right to you, so you just have the phone, which is useless without a contract. And most of the time when you get a contract they ask for a serial number off the phone which, you guessed it, will come up as stolen. Much of the same stuff applies to the GPS systems as well.
The reason iPods are *such* an inviting target is that they don't require a subscription or registration. You just need a copy of iTunes, which is easy enough to get, and an internet connection. And that's if you want to use it as your own personal player...you could just as easily sell it for a quick $150-$200 depending on the model, or use it offline with the music already loaded onto it.
As I said before, I don't believe that they *cause* theft, which even the study shied away from actually saying (unlike JT, they understand the difference between correllation and causation), but it's a might big coincidence considering the high ratio of value to ease of procurement/use.
Whatever happend to people causing crimes without trying to find rediculous scapegoats?
Maybe back in the 1920 that new indoor plumbing could of been a rise in crime because it was the newest technology back then.
I can see a surge of break ins around the time of indoor plumbing. After all, even early toilets were better than an outhouse. ;)
It's the only explanation as to why someone would come to such a conclusion.
I'm sure iPods alone aren't the cause, but they are a major factor.
lol :)
"A motivated offender encounters a suitable victim and perceives a high chance of getting away with it"
is fairly accurate. Of course, the iPods only contribute towards two of these factors (i.e. 1. identifying a suitable victim easily - iPods are easy to spot on people. 2. High chance of getting away with it - iPods easy to identify on a victim (headphones) and easy to conceal after stealing (small casing)).
This doesn't attempt to explain why the thugs are "motivated to steal" the iPods in the first place though. And the iPods are only a "contributing factor" and the amount that it contributed cannot accurately be calculated.
So as long as that is all they are saying, then i agree :)
...Wait, what?
Two guys are walking down the street; one has white ear buds in his ears. Assuming that I'm going to rob someone, will my choice be to rob the guy with the iPod and a wallet or the guy with just a wallet?
Who is more likely to have more cash in his wallet, the guy who has apparently spent several hundred dollars on a tiny jukebox, or the other guy?
Who is more likely to be distracted and thus an easier mark, the guy jamming to some beats, or the other guy?
I don't know how much one can make fencing an iPod, but I'd bet it's better than $30-40, which is more than most people carry in their wallets anyway.
In fact, mugging iPod users may prove so lucrative that more people start doing it. I certainly have no data that this is actually happening, but it makes sense that it could.
Tis pretty much what I was thinking...
It makes sense that iPods could attract muggers. But my main point is that iPods are not *causing* the crime. They are simply attracting it. There is a big difference :)
First it was Rock 'n Roll, then it was movies, then it was TV, then it was video games, and now it's...Rock 'n Roll again...
People aren't interested in stealing iPods in particular, they're interested in stealing valuable items. iPods are valuable, so they get stolen.
Jack McDevitt said it himself: "There has been a lot of anecdotal evidence of cell phones, iPods, GPS systems that have been targets for theft..."
All of those things are valuable items. That's what robbers go for. The more iPods there are out there (90 million as opposed to 5 million), the more likely it is that they'll get stolen. It's simply because there are more of them out there.
I don't think it's an issue of "iPods makes you steal!" issue as it is "iPods are easy to steal and valuable; therefore, they are stolen more".
-P
My kingdom for an edit button.
-P
We were staying in an upscale hotel right down the street from the Univerity, my truck was parked in a parking garage under the hotel. Someone picked up a huge cinder block and smashed my window and stole my wife's 30BG iPod and the docking station it was plugged into, as well as her jacket. We had a bag in the back seat with our checkbooks in it as well as some jewlery, it was untouched.
I have no doubt in my mind that the person who broke into my vehicle did so with the intention of taking the clearly visible iPod, and just grabbed the jacket because it was convenient. They didn't search the vehicle, and there were other, more expensive vehicles around (it's an '03 Toyota Tacoma, there were Escalades in the garage) that didn't have visible iPods in them.
I'm not saying they're 100% right, just that it's strange that this never happened until we were out of town with an iPod plugged in.
Personally if I am out and wearing an MP3 player (now keep in mind I own a sandisk player thats worth about 15$) I wear old sony headphones from the 1990's. I assume people just think I am listening to a walkman.
There is also the distraction element, in that people who listen to ipods are distracted, so that makes them easier targets.
Then there is the fact that ipods are not linked to that person in any way, its just a music player, its not like a cell phone that can be traced back to a company and it cannot be deactivated or bricked by the company if you call and report it stolen like a cellphone can. Even certain GPS units have software locks on them now so that they cannot be stolen as easily.
Honestly if you leave your valuables in sight in your car while you are out and about you are just asking for it. If your carrying around items that have a high resell value and a high demand you should be very cautious while using them in public and while carrying them around.
Between the ease of selling, the high resell value of ipods,, huge demand for the item, the fact that they are not connected to the person using them in any way, the fact that people are distracted while listening to them, and the fact that wearing white earbuds is like holding up a sign that says mug me, it creates a recipie for disaster and theft!
With that being said I wonder how many incidents there have been of people ripping Nintendo DS units out of the hands of the children that are playing them. Easy, resellable, not connected to the person, and in-demand..
"Honestly if you leave your valuables in sight in your car while you are out and about you are just asking for it."
So I assume that if I were to go over to your house I won't see a car or TV/Computer through your windows? Cuz if I do, well, you couldn't hardly blame me for robbing you, could you? And if you're actually a woman, you wouldn't press charges if I had my with you after seeing in club in a suggestive shirt, would you?
I thought not... The idea that me leaving an iPod plugged in somehow means I DESERVED to have a brick thrown through my window which resulted in a $300 repair bill (and that's BEFORE the cost of the iPod and jacket they stole) is ridiculous. Yes, I could have taken more steps to protect myself, and I will in the future, but the only person at fault here is the asshole that decided he was entitled to take MY stuff.
Oh and no one is blaming the ipods themselves on the crime that'd be like blaming money and/or wallets
I think he was saying that if you do leave valuables in plain sight you're being very foolish, not that you deserved to be robbed.
Is this the Glen Haupt who was in the Air Force stationed at Aviano between 1993-1995 with Matthew Alvey!?
If so I am his daughter and have been trying to get in contact with you...
Wb Kerin x