Analyst: Diablo 3 Will Sell 5 Million Units in First Year of Release

With Blizzard announcing today that Diablo 3 will be released on May 15, it was only a matter of time before an analyst rolled out the cart with the crystal ball to make a prognostication about the game's sales.

"Our street-high FY12 EPS estimate of $1.05 assumes first year unit sell-through of 5MM for Diablo III, and assumes that over 1MM of the units incorporate the World of Warcraft 'annual pass' deal which allows WoW players who commit to a one-year subscription to receive Diablo III for free."

The first two Diablo games – including expansions – have sold over 20 million units to date.

While we might make light of analyst predictions, it's tough not to agree that Diablo 3 will sell very well in its first year on the market and will get a slight boost from the World of Warcraft annual pass deal. Of course, World of Warcraft may be the greatest benefactor in such a deal, because people are eager to play Diablo 3 as soon as possible…

Source: C&VG

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  1. 0
    hellfire7885 says:

    Well to me it continues the story from the end of Warcraft 3, so it's still set after it. After all the events so far I have no idea what they would put into a new RTS.

  2. 0
    Mr.Tastix says:

    World of Warcraft's popularity is certain, but it's quality is highly subjective.

    If repetition makes a good game then yes, it's bloody fantastic. That's usually not the primary factor when deciding if a game is good, however.

    MMOs are also a bit of a cheap deal when marking them as "good" because they have excuses to deal with the problem of not having a strong storyline or character set-up. Those points matter but not nearly as much as the content, in comparison to a singleplayer game that doesn't really have an "end-game".

  3. 0
    SYSS Mouse says:

    Plus among those 5 million I wonder how many of those are wow players.

    FYI: As part of a promotion those paying for annual pass will receive a free copy of Diablo III.

  4. 0
    Papa Midnight says:

    I did… for $30. Retail. I like Blizzard games a lot, I really do. I still enjoy Warcraft 2 games with some friends every once in a while. But I can't justify $60 for a game to myself. Hell, come to think of it, I've never paid MSRP for a game above $49.99. I'll always wait for a deal of some kind.

  5. 0
    ZippyDSMlee says:

    Much like star starcraft I wont be buying it. Make a decent Warcraft game set after the frozen throne and I might be sucked back into bliz games…..

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