Analyst: Warfighter Likely to be a Disappointment to EA

October 22, 2012 -

Research firm Cowen and Company analyst Doug Creutz says that Medal of Honor: Warfighter is "likely to be a major disappointment." Set for release in the US, Europe and Australia this week, the game is set to face a tough shooter market that includes heavyweights like Halo 4 and Call of Duty Black Ops II. With that in mind, Creutz think that Warfighter will be a disappointment in terms of its sales numbers.

"Since late July we have been cautious about EA's ability to reach management's FY13 guidance due to our view that Medal of Honor: Warfighter appears likely to be a major disappointment. On July 30 we cut our FY13 EPS estimate to $0.86, well below guidance of $1.05-$1.20, and we currently carry a $0.87 FY13 estimate, close to the Street low. While we believe Street expectations for MoH:W sales have moderated significantly, likely down to the 3-4MM unit range, we are concerned that those expectations may still be too high. Based on our read of pre-release tracking data, we think the game might struggle to sell through 2MM units worldwide," Creutz stated.

Creutz also pointed out that EA decided that it would not send out advance copies of the game prior to its release. This certainly didn't help the game generate any pre-launch buzz in his opinion.

"With only a week before a murderer's row of AAA titles begins to come out (Assassin's Creed III on October 30; Halo 4 on November 6; Call of Duty: Black Ops 2 on November 13), we think MoH:W has a very short window to capture sales, and a dearth of reviews is unlikely to help," Creutz added. "The decision to make early review copies unavailable does not suggest to us that the company has a high degree of confidence in the quality of the game."

He goes on to say that, judging by EA's line-up for the holiday season, he expects the company to lower its guidance for FY13 at "some point." EA will report its earnings on October 30.

Source: GII


Comments

Re: Analyst: Warfighter Likely to be a Disappointment to EA

I got the game but damn if I wont wait to play it until the 2nd or possibly 3rd patch. I have a pretty bad ass PC rig that plays BF3 all cranked up to 11 and MOHW stutters like a stuttering stutterer. The control stuttering is completely unacceptable. The graphics hitching is also unacceptable. The game needs work badly.

Re: Analyst: Warfighter Likely to be a Disappointment to EA

only got it cause i'm a sucker for half off a new release (got Saints Row The Third for $25 about 2 weeks after release for example, or Dishonored for 30% off pre-release.  finished SR3 except the DLC and prob won't get to DH for a while.. love the Thief style gameplay though and stylized world :)  ) and i haven't played it much yet so don't take this as final, but so far the MP i've experienced was in cramped spaces (again.. sigh...)  but the SP was pretty nicely done so far from what i've played.

i'd have to go with it being another dud though as things are. the MP is very bland, and MP is a big thing these days when its included. the SP looks really interesting, and appears to have an actual plot this time.. but i've played to little to really know. and battle log again.... can't say i'm impressed with battle log.. i mean really?! Origin isn't enough?! Now we need TWO forced interfaces?..... someone in EA needs to be fired... no really, this is just BAD.. its like having needing seperate keys for your front door and the inner door (for those of us that have'em :p )

that first impression though is a tough one to shake, and so far i like the SP, but kinda wish i hadn't tried the MP... it all looks good, i mean graphically its awesome, but gameplay wise... it was like a claustrophobic CoD run with grenades being very easy kills.... i do hope it was just that map though.. gotta find others, but there aren't exactly any servers with people atm (least not that aren't pinging 300+ and from half way or more around the world)

 
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