Michael Pachter's Xbox One price prediction...

June 9, 2015 - GamePolitics Staff

In can what can only be described as an "egg on your face" moment, Wedbush Securities analyst Michael Pachter has a prediction murdered right out of the gate. Recently Pachter sent out a note to inventors saying that there was little chance of price cuts for the PS4 or Xbox One going into E3 next week and that the price point for the 500GB Xbox One without Kinect would eventually revert back to its $399 price point.

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Analyst Predictions For The Video Games Industry In 2015

December 30, 2014 - GamePolitics Staff

Games Industry International offers an interesting article on 2015 predictions about the video games industry from four of the most prominent analysts covering the sector including Michael Pachter from Wedbush Securities, independent analyst Billy Pidgeon, David Cole from DFC Intelligence, and Patrick Walker from EEDAR.

There's a lot to unpack in this article, but here's a brief overview of the predictions from each analyst:

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Michael Pachter Predicts Retail Victory for Xbox One in September

October 14, 2014 - GamePolitics Staff

According to Wedbush Morgan analyst Michael Pachter, the Xbox One outsold the PS4 at retail during the month of September. According to GamesBeat, the outspoken analyst estimates that Microsoft sold 325,000 new Xbox Ones at U.S. retail last month, while Sony sold 250,000 PS4s.

If Pachter's estimates hold up (retail numbers for the month of September will be released on Thursday), September will be the very first month since launch that the Xbox One has beaten the PS4 at retail.

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Michael Pachter Prediction: Games Sales Down 20 Percent in January

February 10, 2014 - GamePolitics Staff

According to a research note from Wedbush Securities analyst Michael Pachter to investors, game sales dipped 20 percent on the weakness of current generation sales in the month of January. Pachter is making his predictions ahead of the NPD Groups' retail report for the month of January. When those numbers are released on Thursday, Pachter says that they will show that retail software sales fell 20 percent in January to around $300 million - down 20 percent from the $373 million generated in the same period a year ago.

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Michael Pachter: Price Cuts in February for Xbox 360, PS3

January 21, 2014 - GamePolitics Staff

In the latest edition of Bonus Round, Wedbush Morgan analyst Michael Pachter says that Sony and Microsoft will likely slash the price of their last generation consoles in February. Pachter went on to claim that publishers have threatened to stop supporting the last generation consoles if platform holders didn't start cutting the price of their systems.

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Michael Pachter Takes a Shot at Nintendo President Satoru Iwata

December 6, 2013 - GamePolitics Staff

Speaking at the Game Monetization USA Summit in San Francisco this week, Wedbush Morgan analyst Michael Pachter said that Nintendo president Satoru Iwata should be fired for his handling of the Wii U and the company in general.

"I don't know why Iwata is still employed," Pachter said during his presentation, according to a GamesIndustry International report, adding that the Wii U’s commercial performance has been "underwhelming” and that he believed it was “possible but unlikely” that new titles could help the system to recover.

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Pachter: Sony Shipping One Million Units Per Month, Half Going to GameStop

December 3, 2013 - GamePolitics Staff

Wedbush analyst Michael Pachter estimates that Sony, who has promised "substantial resupplies" of the PlayStation 4 consoles in North America before the end of 2013, is making one million units per month. Pachter says that Sony is shipping about one million units to North America per month, with about half of those units going to retailer GameStop.

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Pachter: Microsoft Prepared to Lower Price on Xbox One

June 20, 2013 -

According to Wedbush analyst Michael Pachter, Microsoft could cut the price of the Xbox One a year or so after launch. Pachter thinks that the Xbox One bundle offers more value because it includes the new Kinect - even if it is $100 more than the PlayStation 4.

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Michael Pachter: Publishers Won't Block Used Xbox One Games

June 7, 2013 -

Wedbush Securities analyst Michael Pachter does not believe that third-party Xbox One game publishers will disable used games using the system Microsoft has put in place to do just that on its next-generation platform. Pachter goes so far as to say that any publisher that disables used games runs a serious risk of significant backlash or boycotts from consumers. In a note to investors today, Pachter said the majority of publishers will not block used games in the system's first few years.

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Pachter: Not Even a Price Cut can Help Wii U Sell Units

April 15, 2013 -

Wedbush Securities analyst Michael Pachter said in a preview note sent out to investors late last week that not even a price cut to Nintendo's Wii U will help it sell more units. He also predicts that Nintendo will report another month of weak sales for the console later this week.

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Analyst Michael Pachter Blames December Sales Declines on Nintendo, Franchise Fatigue

January 7, 2013 -

Speaking to GamesIndustry International, Wedbush Securities analyst Michael Pachter says that Nintendo's continued weakness contributed to 11 percent of the decline in U.S. video game sector in the month of December. Pachter also said that there was evidence that consumer fatigue has set in - even when it comes to popular games like Call of Duty: Black Ops II.

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Michael Pachter: Activision Should Charge a Fee for Call of Duty Multiplayer

December 7, 2012 -

This is sure to put analyst Michael Pachter on someone's naughty list: Recently he said that Activision needs to start charging a fee for the multiplayer portion of its Call of Duty games. Wedbush Securities industry analyst Michael Pachter made his comments during the Digital Game Monetization Summit in San Francisco, California (as reported by GamesIndustry International). During his presentation he said that Activision made a serious mistake when it didn't implement a subscription-based model for Call of Duty multiplayer.

Pachter: Big IP Mistakes Could Impact October Sales

November 5, 2012 -

Wedbush Morgan analyst Michael Pachter says that Electronic Arts and Activision's mismanagement of big first-person shooter titles could end up contributing to another month of "terrible" software sales for the game industry in October. He is referring to Medal of Honor: Warfighter, a game that was supposed to be a major release for EA in October and Activision's 007 Legends, which fared worse than Medal of Honor.

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Pachter: Vivendi Probably Won't Sell Activision Blizzard

July 3, 2012 -

Wedbush Morgan Securities analyst Michael Pachter has said in a note to investors (PDF) that it is unlikely that Vivendi would sell off Activision Blizzard.

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Pachter: Xbox 720 in Spring 2014

June 22, 2012 -

Wedbush Morgan analyst Michael Pachter expects that Microsoft’s next-generation "Xbox 720" console will be released in the Spring of 2014, adding that he expects the new console to function much like a set top box. Anyone that has followed Microsoft in the last ten years knows that the company has been working on a set top box strategy for a very long time - even before it considered making a video game console.

Pachter adds that he does not believe the speculation on a late 2013 release.

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Pachter: To Be Successful, Wii U Should Not Exceed $300

June 11, 2012 -

Wedbush Morgan analyst Michael Pachter says that Nintendo has to price its new Wii U console at around $300 per unit to stand a chance of being successful at retail.

Pachter tells C&VG that he remained uncertain after Nintendo's E3 press event whether it has a "killer app" to help drive sales of the new console.

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Michael Pachter: Sony and Microsoft Waiting on Wii U Pricing

June 7, 2012 -

Wedbush Morgan analyst Michael Pachter believes that Microsoft and Sony may very well cut the price of their respective consoles at some point but are waiting to see what the retail price of the Wii U will be so they can respond accordingly.

"I think both Microsoft and Sony are waiting to see Wii U pricing. If it is over $300, they don't need to cut." Pachter tells C&VG.

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Michael Pachter Talks On-Disc DLC

May 29, 2012 -

According to Wedbush Morgan analyst Michael Pachter unlocking downloadable content that is already present on a retail game disc when you by it might not be illegal. On the latest edition of his GameTrailers TV show " Pach Attack," Pachter also says that it shows the greediness of developers and publishers in some ways.

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Michael Pachter: Amalur IP Worth $20 Million

May 23, 2012 -

If 38 Studios is forced to sell the IP related to Kingdoms of Amalur: Reckoning and the MMO Project Copernicus (set in the same universe), one wonders how much both properties would be worth. Joystiq decided to ask Wedbush Morgan analyst Michael Pachter for a valuation and he came to the conclusion that 38 Studios' IP is worth about $20 million.

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THQ Predicts Lower Sales for Q3, Blames uDraw

December 8, 2011 -

THQ expected that bringing its popular Wii drawing peripheral, uDraw, to other platforms would be lucrative. Earlier this year they announced that the uDraw would be coming to the Xbox 360 and PS3. With the peripheral out and in stores, it looks like THQ isn't getting the kind of returns they expected. The company said yesterday that sales for the third quarter would be down around 25 percent and blames weak sales of the drawing peripheral for the Xbox 360 and the PlayStation 3.

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Pachter: Modern Warfare 3 Will Generate $1.1 Billion in First Six Weeks of Release

November 4, 2011 -

According to Wedbush Morgan analyst Michael Pachter, Activision's Modern Warfare 3 will sell ten percent more copies than Call of Duty Black Ops. He estimates that the game will rake in $1.1 billion in its first six weeks on store shelves. Pachter also predicts that the Call of Duty Elite premium service could pull in up to 4 million subscribers by the end of the year. Of course, he probably didn't know at the time that it wouldn't be available for PC users. That may throw a wrench into the gears of his calculation machine.

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Pachter: Modern Warfare 3, Battlefield to Generate $1.4 billion in Q4

October 24, 2011 -

Wedbush Securities analyst Michael Pachter loves to make predictions, and when he does, he goes big. Two of the biggest games this year - Modern Warfare 3 and Battlefield 3 - are set to launch in North America and Pachter has a big number that he believes both games will hit. Pachter believes that Modern Warfare 3 and Battlefield 3 will generate more than $1.4 billion combined by the end of the year.

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Should Game Developers Have A Union?

July 26, 2011 -

In light of the accusations of horrible working conditions that L.A. Noire developer Team Bondi has garnered of late (excessive hours, no overtime pay, employees cut out of the game’s credits), do game developers need labor rights?  Should they have a union?

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Pachter: Surprising LA Noire Sales Offset by Bad Duke Nukem Forever Sales

July 6, 2011 -

While LA Noire has proven to be a decent tile for Take-Two, Wedbush analyst Michael Pachter says that the poor showing of Duke Nukem Forever has eaten away at those profits. In a note to investors today, Wedbush analyst Michael Pachter lowered his expectation for Take-Two's quarterly revenues, saying that bad performance from Gearbox Studios' Duke Nukem Forever have offset the stronger-than-expected sales of Rockstar's L.A. Noire.

"We had previously expected Duke to be one of the year's top sellers due to a high degree of hype and a dedicated fan base, and expected solid profit contribution as the bulk of development had been previously expensed," Pachter told investors. "However, the game's poor reviews (average Metacritic score of 49) likely had a negative impact on sales, causing us to lower our [first quarter] sell-in estimate to 1.5 million units from 3 million units."

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Analysts Talk: The Worst of 2010

December 21, 2010 -

In a Gamasutra feature article called "The Year In Review: Game Biz Analysts On The Worst Happenings Of 2010" analysts from various firms sound off about the worst moments in the game biz during 2010. Below is a small sampling of what analysts had to say.

According to Wedbush Securities analyst Michael Pachter, the worst thing to happen in the industry in the year is video games going before the Supreme Court:

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Left Behind Games and the Pachter Effect

November 17, 2010 -

Christian video game publisher Left Behind Games has increased guidance upwards by 30 percent for its fiscal year ending March 31, 2011. LBG expects $1.3 million in annual revenue as a result of significant interest in our products - according to CEO Troy Lyndon.

The company also gave credit to Wedbush Morgan analyst Michael Pachter for some of that newfound interest in its products:

"On February 24, 2010, Michael Pachter, Research Analyst at Wedbush Securities stated, 'I think that the Christian video game market is a significant market currently underserved by traditional publishers.' Since the time of Pachter’s quote, LB Games has grown in revenues by more than 1000 percent and gained national retail distribution through Synnex, a billion dollar funding, fulfillment and distribution partner introduced to LB Games by Walmart. LB Games products are also available online at Walmart.com and BestBuy.com."

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Michael Pachter: 'I Use The Press'

November 16, 2010 -

Journalist Tracey John and analyst Michael Pachter guest star in The Escapist feature, The Crystal Ball of Michael Pachter. No matter what you think of the outspoken Wedbush Morgan video game analyst, this interview / feature from Tracey John sheds some light on what Pachter does on any given weekday and how he manipulates the media to promote himself.

Here is the part where he shows his humility and admits that he uses the press:

"Investors should [listen to me] because I'm really good, but look, I use the press," he admitted when I asked why we should listen to him. "It's a symbiotic relationship. I try to give you guys what you need, and I use the press to promote myself so that more investors want to talk to me. That helps me get paid more money."

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Pachter: So Far, GameStop Not Impacted By Online Pass

August 20, 2010 -

Michael Pachter, gaming research analyst for Wedbush Morgan Securities, says that schemes to recoup cash from used game buyers doesn't seem to be having an impact on sales at GameStop. In a post-financials report on the retailer, Pachter said that the country's largest games retailer remained unscathed in its latest quarter and that aggressive code-based schemes for used games weren't hurting the retailer’s bottom line. This could be because most of these schemes from EA and THQ (in a small measure) are targeting multiplayer, which GameStop says only 25 percent of used game buyers are interested in.

"The company has not seen a negative impact on used software sales from first-use codes or new competitors in the space," Pachter said. "The company estimates that only 25 per cent of used game buyers play online.”

Naturally EA and THQ have just barely rolled out such schemes on a couple of titles. We'll see how it affects used games sales of titles like the latest Madden game in the next quarter. Pachter also shared his pessimism on GameStop’s plan to create a digital market space to sell DLC.

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Wedbush: Industry Rebound Possible on New Hardware

June 21, 2010 -

Wedbush analysts Michael Pachter and Edward Woo, who no longer think that the video game industry is "recession proof" (remember that?) are now saying that the new hardware introduced during E3 last week in Los Angeles has the potential to reinvigorate the sector. The major hurdle, they say, is pricing. The Wedbush duo were apparently most impressed with the Nintendo 3DS, which provides gamers (not under the age of 7, says Nintendo, because 3D is the devil to your eyes at that tender age) with 3D gaming and entertainment without the need for goofy 3D glasses. The 3DS is rumored to have a price point of $250 or more, but the pair do not believe it will matter, saying that Nintendo will sell millions of units.

Microsoft's Kinect, on the other hand, will have to be priced reasonably to sell, they believe:

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Pachter: Best Buy's New Games at Used Prices Experiment Destined to Fail

August 10, 2009 -

Brand-new games at used game prices?

A pilot program that does just that is being tested at a Best Buy location in Utah. While it sounds like a good deal for consumers, Wedbush-Morgan analyst Michael Pachter doesn't expect to see the Best Buy experiment gain traction on a large scale.

Of the program, under which Best Buy will match used game prices in effect at either GameStop or Game Crazy, Pachter said:

I don’t think it will do well.  The price match means that Best Buy either cuts their profit per game in half, or wipes it out altogether.  I don’t think that they can afford to sell $60 games for $50, and don’t think that it will be effective in the long run.  If it does well, then GameStop will cut used game prices to the point where Best Buy can’t match without losing money.

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Which group is more ethically challenged?:

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Andrew EisenIf you do, I hope you can provide some examples of people (again, other than random no-name numbnuts on Twitter) who are genuinely trying to dictate what should and should not be allowed so far as themes, topics, language, plot devices, etc. go.07/01/2015 - 9:43am
MattsworknameI'd go into why I think it's a bigger problem then most realize, but nows not the time really. I'll catch up with everyone later07/01/2015 - 9:42am
Andrew EisenThat's the thing though, rarely is anyone (again, other than random numbnuts on Twitter) attempting to dictate what can and cannot be said or done.07/01/2015 - 9:39am
Andrew Eisen"Don't write rape scenes" is being offered as advice (along with reasons for that advice) not a mandate.07/01/2015 - 9:37am
MattsworknameOh, on that last one andrew I wasn't talking about the article, I was being more general, lately it seems like all the news and media is trying to decide what is and isn't proper to say. Thats what i was refering to.07/01/2015 - 9:37am
Andrew EisenPerhaps you should consider reading the entire article. Despite quotes you can pull from the intro and conclusion, the author isn't arguing that you can't or shouldn't be allowed to cover a certain topic.07/01/2015 - 9:35am
MattsworknameOne of the things I hate right now is that people are trying to be the deciders of what is and isn't proper to be said. It's political correctness to a level that makes me angry.07/01/2015 - 9:29am
Mattsworknamemake them, i just tell peopel that I think what they did sucked. Just cause I dont like what they did, doesn't mean I can tell them "You shouldn't wrtie that" cause thats just another step on the way to telling them "YOU CANT WRITE THAT".07/01/2015 - 9:24am
MattsworknameNo, but you or I aren't the one to tell someone else what they can or cannot do beyond EXTREMELY narrow limits. Telling a person then shouldn't write something or say something. I may hate certain movies or music, doesn't mean I dont' tell peopel not to07/01/2015 - 9:23am
E. Zachary KnightHasbro is taking steps to fix its Dinosaur gender issues. http://io9.com/the-jurassic-world-dinosaur-toys-are-clever-girls-again-171513589607/01/2015 - 9:20am
TechnogeekImagine that level of accuracy, only applied to something that has actually caused physiological and psychological trauma in more cases than just whatever the equivalent of the CD-i Zelda games would be.07/01/2015 - 8:40am
TechnogeekThat's the issue I see as well, E. To put it in terms anyone reading this site will likely understand: you know how any time video games show up on TV, they feature absurdly outdated 3D graphics and/or audio from the Intellivison era?07/01/2015 - 8:40am
InfophileWell, you CAN go to a crowded streetcorner and tell everyone who passes by your social security number and bank account PIN, but you shouldn't. Is that censorship?07/01/2015 - 8:36am
E. Zachary KnightSo if it is going to turn out to be a bad scene, why even bother writing it?07/01/2015 - 8:07am
E. Zachary KnightMatts, Goth, The article, and others I have read making the same conclusion, state that most people fail in their attempts to write rape scenes without being overly offensive or overly incompetent in their attempt.07/01/2015 - 8:07am
Adam802http://www.sfgate.com/news/article/Ex-Sen-Leland-Yee-may-be-headed-for-a-plea-deal-6358941.php07/01/2015 - 7:12am
Adam802Possible plea deal in Yee case: http://www.mercurynews.com/crime-courts/ci_28408532/leland-yee-case-plea-deal-appears-likely07/01/2015 - 7:11am
MattsworknameInfo, Im with goth on this, the moment people start saying "You can but you shouldnt" thats a slow slide into censorship07/01/2015 - 6:05am
InfophileIn other words, you stopped when you found out it was arguing for a position you disagreed with, but before you found out why.07/01/2015 - 5:29am
Goth_Skunk"In short, anyone can write a rape scene—but should they? Chances are, the answer is no." And that's where I stopped reading.07/01/2015 - 5:11am
 

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